China retaliation on US farm goods hits soybeans, bolstering Brazil

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Aug 13, 2025US losing out on China soybean sales as Brazil fills key supply period | Reuters+0.1%
• May 4, 2018Angst in farm belt after reports that China halted buying US soybeans-2.9%
• Jun 16, 2018China hits U.S. agriculture with retaliation-1.2%
• Oct 28, 2026China wants US soybeans. Its buyers prefer Brazil | ThinkChina-1.6%
• Feb 1, 2026China Turns to Cheaper Brazil Soybeans After Meeting US Pledge+4.8%

After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Aug 13, 2025US losing out on China soybean sales as Brazil fills key supply period | Reuters+3.1%
• Jan 25, 2018Soy source: Brazil's share of soybean exports to China hits record-1.2%
• Mar 14, 2019Why U.S. growers are betting the farm on soybeans amid China trade war+3.8%
• Apr 30, 2025CBOT soybeans hit two-week low on US-China trade war concerns-1.5%
• May 10, 2023Soybeans face pressure on US planting weather, tepid China demand+2.3%