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University of Wisconsin economist Bob Cropp reports US milk production was up only 0.5% in Q4 2018 and 0.2% in February 2019. US dairy cow numbers fell 77,000 head year on year, and record 2018 exports reached 15.8% of milk production.
Retaliatory tariffs from China, Mexico and Canada dampened exports in the second half of 2018.
Slowing milk output and falling cow numbers point to tighter US supply, which supports improved milk prices. Export demand remains a key support, but tariffs have weakened its growth.
farmprogress.comFran O'LearyMar 26, 2019After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
