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Malaysian palm oil futures slipped on March 28, 2022, as crude oil fell after China announced a nine-day lockdown of Shanghai. Malaysian palm exports for March 1-25 fell 5% from February, and MPOC forecast a small rise in 2022 global palm output.
Lower crude and weaker China fuel demand reduce palm's biodiesel appeal and cut vegetable oil demand, pressuring palm prices. Tight South American soybean supply and Black Sea sunflower bottlenecks provide some offset.
brecorder.comReutersMar 28, 2022After 12 past bearish geopolitics events, Palm Oil moved a median -4.5% over 5 sessions (17% higher; middle half -5.9% to -2.3%), and -6.2% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On March 28 palm slipped as crude fell on the Shanghai lockdown (demand risk) and March exports weakened, adding to downward pressure.
On Mar 28 palm slipped as crude fell on Shanghai lockdown (demand fears) and weak early-March exports, starting the week's selloff.
Crude fell on March 28 after Shanghai's lockdown announcement, a demand-side concern that fed the window's decline.
