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US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin accused China of letting the yuan slide from about 6.30 to 6.90 per dollar to offset US tariffs. He said the lack of intervention after long periods of support signals a desire for a weaker currency.
A deliberate yuan depreciation to offset tariffs makes US farm goods costlier for Chinese buyers and raises the risk of continued trade friction, which is bearish for US soybean and feed grain export demand.
scmp.comKaren YeungJun 8, 2019After 31 past bullish policy events, USDCNY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
