
Argentina has nearly finished planting its 2019/20 wheat and barley crops, with 6.078 million hectares sown. BAGE forecasts a record 21.2 million tonnes of wheat, above the USDA's 20 Mt estimate, and exports of about 14.5 Mt.
A record Argentine crop and larger exports increase competition for Australian wheat in Asian markets, which weighs on global wheat export prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.