
The EPA proposed a 2020 renewable fuel volume of 20.04 billion gallons, a 0.6% increase over the 2019 quota of 19.92 billion gallons. The proposal would require refiners and importers to blend this volume.
A modest increase in the biofuel mandate supports soybean oil and corn ethanol demand, though the small increase limits the price effect.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.