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Soybean oil futures rose as much as 3.8% on expectations that the Trump administration will finalize biofuel-blending quotas by March. Whole soybean futures gained as much as 1.5%, and USDA reported five export sales including 204,000 tons to China.
China has bought more than 8 million tons of a 12 million ton target.
Expected quota finalization lifts biomass-based diesel demand for soyoil, and China buying supports whole bean prices. Both factors are bullish for soybean complex prices.
governorsbiofuelscoalition.orgJan 19, 2026After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
