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Renewable Identification Number prices have risen more than 40% since June 10 as the market reacts to President Trump's Iowa visit. Traders are weighing the possibility that biofuel waivers may decline.
Trump thanked the administration for year-round higher ethanol blend sales.
Higher RIN prices raise the cost of compliance for refiners and signal stronger expected biofuel blending, which supports corn and soybean oil demand.
bloomberg.comMario Parker, Jennifer A DlouhyJun 20, 2019After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
