The Trump administration decided not to appeal the court ruling that sharply limits small refinery biofuel waivers, and no filing was entered by the deadline. Refiners criticized the decision while corn interests welcomed it.
Ending the waiver overuse supports blending demand for ethanol and biofuel feedstocks, which is bullish for corn and soybean oil and bearish for refinery margins.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.