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IBGE's June estimates put Brazil's 2019 grain, legume and oilseed harvest at 236 million tonnes, up 4.2% year on year, led by a record 69.3 million tonnes of second-crop corn. Soybean output is estimated at 112.5 million tonnes, down 4.5%, due to dry weather in Paraná, Mato Grosso do Sul and São Paulo.
Larger Brazilian corn supply is bearish for corn export prices, while the smaller soybean crop tightens soybean and soymeal export availability, supporting those prices.
agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.brJul 11, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
