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IBGE's July survey estimates Brazil's 2020 grain harvest at a record 250.5 million metric tons, up 3.8% from 2019. Soybean output is projected at a record 120.1 million tons, though Rio Grande do Sul's crop fell sharply to 11.2 million tons due to prolonged drought.
Corn is estimated at 99.8 million tons and wheat output is up 41%.
A record Brazilian soybean and grain crop adds export supply that can weigh on world prices, while the Rio Grande do Sul drought trims the southern soy and corn balance. Strong domestic and foreign demand for corn supports prices and encourages more planting.
agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.brAug 11, 2020After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
