Grains in the crosshairs on tight supply concerns

After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Jan 31, 2020What is the corn supply truth? - High Plains Journal-0.6%
• Apr 22, 2022North America faces high feed prices, tight grain supply | Feed Strategy-0.2%
• May 2, 2024Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports+0.9%
• Nov 1, 2016EU Commission: EU grain harvest small - supply close+1.9%
• Mar 12, 2018Domestic supply gains raise concern for broiler industry | WATTAgNet | WATTPoultry.com+1.7%

After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.

• Jul 28, 2021EU suggests the concern may be quality, not quantity: Grain market daily | AHDB-1.8%
• Feb 3, 2022Vegetable oil prices hit all-time high over supply concerns: FAO | Food Dive+3.2%
• Aug 16, 2023Soybean supplies look tight, but more could be on the way | Feed Strategy+2.1%
• Dec 2, 2020Surging grain prices add to inflation unease | Saxo-1.4%
• Jun 30, 2017U.S. grains: Chicago wheat above $5 on U.S., Canadian concerns - Manitoba Co-operator+8.8%

After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.

• May 28, 2026Analyst insight: UK grain supplies tightening | AHDB-2.8%
• May 2, 2024Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports+2.1%
• Jul 28, 2021EU suggests the concern may be quality, not quantity: Grain market daily | AHDB+2.7%
• Nov 1, 2016EU Commission: EU grain harvest small - supply close+0.2%
• May 5, 2021Prices higher, corn continues tight: IGC - Grain Central+5.2%