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DTN's Todd Hultman reports that a wet spring cut U.S. soft red winter wheat production to 258 million bushels in June, the smallest since 2010. Chicago September wheat reached $5.57 1/4 on June 27, a 14% premium over Kansas City wheat, the widest since 1979.
Smaller SRW supplies drove a premium that has since faded as world supplies recovered, so the rally appears less durable. Buyers should weigh the record global crop outlook against regional tightness.
dtnpf.comTodd Hultman, DTN Lead AnalystAug 1, 2019After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
