
China is reducing purchases of U.S. soybeans, prompting Argentina to push for access to its soymeal market. A Rosario Board of Trade delegation is promoting Argentine products in China, and Chinese inspectors are reviewing soymeal quality before approving imports.
Argentina's 2018-19 soybean crop rebounded 48% to 55.9 million tons.
Approval of Argentine soymeal would add a major new supplier to China's feed demand, increasing competition for Brazilian and US meal and pressuring soymeal export prices.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.