Exclusive: China pens Argentine soymeal test deal with eye on US trade war disruption

After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 28, 2019US-China trade tensions hurt Argentine soybean exports - Chinadaily.com.cn-2.7%
• Aug 30, 2019As US Trade Dispute Lingers, China Gives Argentina Soy Meal a Second Look-1.6%
• Mar 10, 2019Argentina's Soymeal Plants Battered By Trade War And Taxes | ESM Magazine+3.9%
• Mar 22, 2024Brazil’s intrusion on US soy exports to China somewhat mimics trade-war era-2.2%
• Apr 30, 2025CBOT soybeans hit two-week low on US-China trade war concerns-1.5%

After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Oct 27, 2020Trump's phase one trade deal with China and the US election | PIIE-3.4%
• Jun 28, 2019US-China trade tensions hurt Argentine soybean exports - Chinadaily.com.cn-1.7%
• Aug 30, 2019As US Trade Dispute Lingers, China Gives Argentina Soy Meal a Second Look-1.3%
• Mar 10, 2019Argentina's Soymeal Plants Battered By Trade War And Taxes | ESM Magazine+2.9%
• Sep 23, 2025Exclusive: China buys Argentine soybeans after tax drop, leaving US farmers sidelined | Reuters-0.0%