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CRU reviewed Q2 results from Nutrien, CF Industries and Mosaic, which all signaled optimism for North American fertilizer demand in 2020. The outlook is based on positive corn price expectations and expected planting increases next year.
The analysis also flags that US urea and potash prices have been volatile and that flooding disrupted logistics this spring.
Expected higher corn plantings in 2020 would lift nitrogen and phosphate demand in North America. The optimism supports the fertilizer price outlook, but its realization depends on corn prices and weather.
news.agropages.comSep 4, 2019After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 76 past bullish report events, Urea moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.2% to +2.9%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
