USDA FAS reported that U.S. agricultural exports to China reached a record $36.4 billion in FY 2022, making China the largest export market for a second consecutive year. Soybeans accounted for a record $16.4 billion, with unit values up 24 percent to $622/ton on drought in South America and war in Ukraine.
Higher soybean export values driven by price rather than volume signal firm global prices and strong Chinese demand for U.S. soy, supportive for soybean and meal values.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.