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USDA's FAS attaché report forecasts Argentina's 2025/26 soybean planted area falling to 16.5 million hectares, with production at 47.5 MMT. Crush is seen steady at 42 MMT, while sunflower area rises to 2.65 million hectares with production projected at 5.3 MMT.
Lower soybean output and steady crush point to tighter Argentine soybean meal and oil availability, while larger sunflower supplies add competing meal and oil volumes. Net effect is modestly supportive for soybean products and mildly bearish for sunflower meal pricing.
fas.usda.govNov 21, 2025After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
