
The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 1.5-1.75%, its third cut this year, with two dissents. The Fed dropped its pledge to act as appropriate to sustain the expansion and signalled a possible pause.
A weaker dollar after the cut supports emerging-market currencies and commodity import demand, while the signalled pause limits further easing support for the dollar's decline.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.