
The dollar was on course for its biggest monthly drop in a decade, falling nearly 5% in July as coronavirus cases surged in US states. The euro touched $1.19, its strongest since May 2018, after Trump raised the possibility of delaying the November election and GDP data showed a 32.9% annualised contraction in Q2.
A weaker dollar tends to lift dollar-denominated commodity prices and makes US feed exports more competitive abroad, while the currency move also affects importers' buying costs.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.