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U.S. Wheat Associates reports that the 2019 hard red winter wheat crop has good milling quality despite lower protein content. Production is estimated at 22.9 million tonnes, up 27% from 2018 on unexpectedly high yields.
Larger HRW supplies with below-average protein weigh on KC wheat prices and make lower-protein wheat cheaper for feed use.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.