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The July WASDE report showed much lower than expected corn ending stocks for old and new crop, lifting December corn 4 cents after an early decline. Soybeans closed lower on slight ending-stock revisions and weak export demand, while wheat fell sharply after a surprise increase in US wheat production and ending stocks.
The USDA report's tighter corn stocks support feed grain prices, while bigger wheat supplies weigh on wheat values that compete with corn in rations.
agriculture.comCassidy WalterJul 12, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports that wheat fell sharply after the surprise increase in US wheat production and ending stocks in the July WASDE tie the selloff directly to the report release.
Soybeans closed lower after the WASDE on slight stock revisions and weak export demand.
