Loading…
Nearby CBOT wheat fell to its lowest since January 2018 after a USDA report projected a record global wheat crop. Prices then reversed on a USDA crop progress report showing delayed US corn and soybean planting, and the rally continued through the week.
Planting delays that cut US corn yields and acres lift feed-grain prices, while the record global wheat forecast caps wheat gains.
queenslandcountrylife.com.auMalcolm BartholomaeusMay 20, 2019After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Wheat hit its lowest since Jan 2018 then reversed sharply on the USDA crop progress report, so oversold conditions amplified the bounce.
