Loading…
A Stewart Peterson market adviser previews the December WASDE, noting traders expect higher US wheat export numbers and lower supplies. The November report had lifted ending stocks to 901 million bushels, which weighed on prices.
Managed money positioning and the Black Sea are flagged as key drivers.
Expectations for tighter US wheat supplies could support prices if USDA raises exports, but the prevailing ample-stocks backdrop limits upside for feed wheat costs.
farmprogress.comNaomi BlohmDec 5, 2025After 406 past neutral report events, WHEAT moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 40 past neutral report events, KWHEAT moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.1% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
