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InfoSAWIT reports that the EU's RED II delegated act labels palm oil as unsustainable and high risk for deforestation, which Indonesia says will cut its exports to the EU. The article argues that soybeans are not subject to the same restriction.
Losing EU palm oil access is bearish for Indonesian palm oil prices and supports soy oil demand, but the policy's price impact depends on how strongly Indonesia's exports are affected.
en.infosawit.comNov 23, 2019After 400 past bearish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
