IEG Vantage raised its corn yield estimate to 168.6 bushels per acre and its soybean estimate to 47 bushels per acre ahead of USDA's November WASDE. Both figures are slightly above USDA's current numbers.
Higher private yield forecasts point to larger US supplies than USDA's current figures, which is mildly bearish for corn and soybean prices ahead of the report.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.