
The Red River Farm Network said the August WASDE was positive for corn, bearish for soybeans and neutral for wheat. The corn yield of 180.7 bu/ac came in below the 182.5 pre-report trade estimate.
Soybean yields were near expectations, but soybean ending stocks were above expectations, and new-crop corn stocks were below the trade guess.
The corn stocks shortfall and yield miss support corn prices. The soybean stocks surprise pressures soybean prices.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.