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New-crop U.S. soybean ending stocks rose to 560 million bushels from 435 million in July, the biggest surprise in the USDA report. U.S. wheat ending stocks came in at 828 million bushels against trade expectations of 861 million.
The soybean stocks surprise is bearish for soybeans and meal, while the smaller-than-expected wheat stocks are supportive for wheat as a feed ingredient. Corn stocks changed only slightly.
rrfn.comDon WickAug 13, 2024After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
New-crop US soybean ending stocks jumped to 560 mil bu, the biggest surprise in the report, which is bearish for prices.
