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USDA's December WASDE made no changes to US corn and soybean ending stocks, while US wheat ending stocks dropped below pre-report estimates. USDA also reduced its average farmgate price, and analysts said January's report will bring more clarity on production.
Tighter US wheat supplies are supportive for wheat prices, while the lower farmgate price tempers the outlook for grain values. Corn and soybean balance sheets are unchanged pending January data.
rrfn.comDon WickDec 11, 2019After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
