Dollar falls as likelihood of a Biden victory grows; yuan gains

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Dec 28, 2023Dollar falls against yen, gains on euro in choppy trading+1.0%
• Mar 4, 2025Euro gains after German debt reform; US dollar falls-1.2%
• Nov 30, 2023US dollar gains but set for worst monthly loss in a year, euro falls+0.6%
• Oct 9, 2020Dollar dips on stimulus optimism, bets on Biden victory | Reuters-0.3%
• Jan 5, 2021Dollar falls as yuan fix lifts risk currencies, Georgia elections in focus+0.6%

After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jan 5, 2021Dollar falls as yuan fix lifts risk currencies, Georgia elections in focus+0.3%
• Jan 5, 2023Yuan to Stay Below 6.8 Versus US Dollar This Year as Greenback Will Likely Weaken-1.7%
• Mar 13, 2026Yuan Holds Up As Risk-Off Lifts The Dollar - Finimize+0.4%
• Nov 14, 2022U.S. dollar gains ground as investors focus on future Fed path-0.9%
• Sep 24, 2026Vietnamese Dong Gains Ground as Dollar Weakens Against Asian Currencies-0.1%