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Yicai Global reports that financial institutions expect the yuan to appreciate to between 6.7 and 6.8 per dollar in 2023. Barclays and Guotai Junan see 6.7 by year-end as the dollar weakens.
China's easing of Covid travel restrictions from January 8 is expected to support overseas fund inflows.
Expected yuan appreciation and a softer dollar would lower the dollar cost of Chinese feed imports. The forecasts point to a lower USD/CNY rate.
yicaiglobal.comZhou AilinJan 5, 2023After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Forecasts of yuan appreciation to 6.7-6.8 and expected inflows after travel easing reinforced bullish yuan sentiment.
