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The yuan held up as risk-off sentiment lifted the US dollar amid Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, with the CFETS trade-weighted basket reaching its strongest level since March 2025. The onshore and offshore yuan traded closely, and PBOC fixing management helped limit its weakness against peers.
A stable yuan limits spillover from dollar strength into Asian currencies and helps keep Chinese import demand steady. Escalation around Hormuz that lifts oil prices could still pressure the yuan and regional currencies.
finimize.comFinimize NewsroomMar 13, 2026After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Risk-off sentiment tied to Iran/Hormuz tensions lifted the dollar on 2026-03-13, the day of the move, while PBOC fixing management limited yuan weakness, which directly explains a USD/CNY shift.
