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ING's FX commentary expects the Fed to avoid closing the door on further easing after the December meeting, citing last year's equity sell-off. It also notes Brazil likely completing its easing cycle with a 50 basis point cut and sees the dollar holding above 97.35 on the DXY.
Brazil's rate cuts and a stable dollar are relevant to the BRL and to Brazilian export competitiveness for soy and corn, though the impact on prices is modest.
think.ing.comChris TurnerDec 11, 2019After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
