Loading…
Fitch Ratings raised its short and medium-term global fertiliser price assumptions after supply disruptions tied to the Russia-Ukraine war. Feedstock costs have risen significantly and demand remains strong.
Its long-term price assumptions are unchanged.
Higher assumed fertiliser prices signal sustained input cost pressure for farmers, which can shift planting economics and feed grain demand. Tight nitrogen and potash supply supports fertiliser prices through the medium term.
proshare.coMar 24, 2022After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 114 past bullish geopolitics events, DAP moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
