
Soybeans, meal and oil rose on short covering and technical buying, with the US planting pace the slowest on record. Mexico bought 113,000 tons of old-crop US corn, and Ukraine estimated 2019/20 corn output at 33.1 million tons, down from 35.6 million.
Record-slow planting and Mexican buying support US corn and soymeal prices, while smaller Ukrainian exports reduce competition for US corn next season.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybeans, meal and oil rallied on short covering as US planting pace was the slowest on record, a direct supply-risk driver of meal price gains.
Soybeans and meal rallied on short covering and the slowest US planting pace on record, which is the supply-risk and technical impulse feeding into the late-May move.