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Iowa Farm Bureau's Zach Brummer said dry conditions could support grain prices in 2024, noting record 2023 corn production despite drought. He pointed to soil moisture improvements in some drier Corn Belt areas and warned a possible return of La Nina could bring another hot, dry summer.
The prospect of a La Nina-driven dry summer raises weather risk premium in corn and soybean futures, which supports feed grain prices.
brownfieldagnews.comMark DorenkampFeb 9, 2024After 1,465 past bullish weather events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
