
Corn futures gained 2 cents after the April WASDE despite a bearish stocks increase that was within trade expectations. Soybean futures rose about 8 cents after USDA cut South American soybean yields.
Wheat stocks were reported at record highs near 10.8 billion bushels.
Traders treated the corn stocks increase as already priced in, while lower South American output supports soybean values. Record global wheat supplies cap wheat price gains.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.