
IHS Markit says US LNG export terminal utilization has fallen to about 65% and could drop below 50%. Roughly 130 cargoes could be cancelled between May and October as European and Asian prices slip toward Henry Hub levels.
Feed gas deliveries fell from about 9 Bcf/d earlier in the year to below 5 Bcf/d in May before partly recovering.
Lower US LNG exports reduce demand for Henry Hub gas, which is bearish for US natural gas prices. Volatile feed gas flows add price uncertainty for energy-intensive feed and fertilizer costs.
After 24 past bearish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -4.5% to +7.3%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.