
Reuters reports that Novatek delivers LNG to Europe at about $3.15 per mmBtu, compared with $7-$8 for U.S. producers. Asian spot LNG was about $6.2 per mmBtu and European LNG spot prices were just below the North West European hub price of around $6.
Gazprom expects its average European gas price this year to be at least $6.4 per mmBtu.
Low-cost Russian LNG and the broader LNG glut keep global spot gas prices under pressure and limit the room for higher-cost U.S. supply to win European share.
After 24 past bearish trade events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.8% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -4.5% to +7.3%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.