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Brent crude futures fell to negative $37 per barrel at the end of April, and ethanol plant closures have reduced DDGS supply. Animal feed producers are returning to soybean diets as DDGS availability tightens, though soymeal prices are expected to stay lower because exports are not materializing as forecast.
Shifting feed demand toward soymeal supports soybean meal usage while weak export expectations cap its price gains, and the energy-driven ethanol cutback tightens DDGS supply.
tridge.comCaio AlvesMay 15, 2020After 44 past bullish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (34% higher; middle half -1.9% to +0.9%), and -2.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
