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CRU Group publishes an analysis of the Chinese fertilizer cost floor, explaining how Chinese producers' costs shape global prices. The piece highlights China's growing dominance as the largest producer of DAP, MAP and urea.
It also notes that policy and food security have shaped the industry.
Chinese production costs set a practical floor for global urea and phosphate prices, so understanding this floor helps buyers anticipate fertilizer price support levels.
crugroup.comAuthor Alexander Derricott Nitrogen PhosphatesJun 4, 2020After 26 past neutral report events, Urea moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -4.1% to +1.5%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 38 past neutral report events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.6%), and +3.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
