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Pakistan's fertilizer industry signaled a possible urea price increase of Rs 200 per bag if gas companies win their requested gas tariff hikes for 2020-21. SNGPL sought a roughly 100% rise and SSGC a 20% rise.
The industry says the cost would be passed on to farmers.
Higher feed gas costs would raise domestic Pakistani urea prices and could tighten import needs, a modestly bullish factor for urea.
After 129 past bullish policy events, Urea moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.