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ING's LATAM chief economist notes that central banks in Mexico, Colombia and Brazil are increasingly worried about financial market instability and FX outflows if interest rates fall further. Policymakers are therefore reaching the limits of further rate cuts.
The analysis focuses on currency stability as a constraint on monetary policy.
Currency stability concerns limit monetary easing in key South American feed-importing and soy-exporting economies, which can affect local currency costs of grain and meal trade.
think.ing.comGustavo Rangel Chief Economist, LATAMJul 6, 2020After 92 past neutral macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
