
FIS reports AG urea paper found support near $220 per tonne on expected Indian demand after India secured only 628,000 tonnes in its latest tender, well short of requirements. Egypt paper traded at $227 for August, and Brazil small-lot sales reached up to $255/t CFR.
The Nola market remained rangebound after the spring season.
India's need for significant further urea purchases is expected to support global urea prices in the short term. Buyers should anticipate firmer nitrogen costs if another tender follows soon.
After 176 past bullish trade events, Urea moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.4%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.