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Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech and the FOMC statement formally adopted average inflation targeting, allowing inflation to run above 2% to compensate for past undershoots. Analysts at ING say the language gives the Fed flexibility to keep rates low and supports modest yield curve steepening and dollar weakness.
A dovish Fed framework keeps real rates low and pressures the dollar, which can support commodity prices and firm up demand for hard assets.
think.ing.comJames Knightley, Chris Turner, Padhraic Garvey, CFAAug 28, 2020After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
