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African swine fever has spread to about 51 countries, causing heavy socio-economic losses in pig production. No commercially available vaccine exists, and FAO and OIE are calling for coordinated global control.
Continued spread constrains global pork supply and trade, which can shift import demand for feed ingredients over time. The article itself does not describe a new price shock.
ilri.orgOjango, Julie M.K.Aug 14, 2020After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
