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Chinese purchases of key US farm products have largely stalled in October as buyers await the US presidential election. State-owned soybean buying has mostly stopped, and China's soybean coverage for 2020 is near full while corn buying has run at a record pace.
With soybean and meat making up nearly half of purchases, the Phase One target is at risk, and softer Chinese pork prices signal slower herd rebuilding that could cut future soymeal, soybean and corn demand.
fastmarkets.comJohnny HuangOct 29, 2020After 803 past bearish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
