The Canadian dollar rose to its strongest level since April 2018, trading near 1.2689 per US dollar. Traders focused on US stimulus progress, with House Speaker Pelosi inviting leaders to finalize a relief deal, and shrugged off Bank of Canada concerns about a strong currency.
US crude settled 1.3% higher at $47.62 a barrel.
A weaker US dollar and stimulus optimism support commodity demand and prices, while a firmer loonie makes Canadian exports less competitive in the US market.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.