A steep downturn in US ethanol output tied to the China trade war is tightening supplies of distillers' dried grains, raising prices paid by livestock farmers. Many buyers are switching to soybean meal, which eased as China halted US soybean imports.
Tighter DDGS supply lifts its price and pushes feed users toward soybean meal, a substitution that supports DDGS prices while pressuring soybean meal.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.