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The Russian government is considering an export duty on sunflower oil of 15% or at least 135 EUR per ton. Ukrainian seaports shipped 820,000 tons of sunflower oil in November, up 170% from October.
A possible Russian duty would tighten global sunflower oil supply and support vegetable oil prices, but the measure is still under consideration.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.